RELATIONSHIP OF INDIVIDUAL PERSONALITY CHARACTERISTICS WITH THE ABILITY TO PREDICT CHANGES IN SOCIAL FACILITIES

The article discusses the phenomenon which, in the framework of the scientific concept developed by the authors, obtained a working title of "the effect of a school picture". The meaning of this phenomenon is the tendency of man to describe the identity of the communication partner in accordance with the view that he had acquired by a specific point in the past and is fixed in time as a static image. This image, as if is frozen in memory and all subsequent human actions are determined not by the model of development or degradation of the partner, but the model of a static image, vaguely reminding old photos. Thus, the lack of information about the communication partner leads to a rigid fixation of the image in memory, which remains stable over many decades, which in turn causes errors in forecasting changes in the life of the assessed subject.The article presents the results of the experimental stage of the study, which determined the degree of accuracy of the estimates by the examinees of life prospects of famous people in business, government, politics, and art by means of their children's photos. It was shown that the difference in estimates of the examinees of female photos in childhood and in adulthood is generally less than the difference in the estimates of male photos, which can be explained by the presence of more opportunities for men to develop in the fields of business, politics, government, and art, than for women. The article also presents the results of correlation analysis of the relation between estimates of photopersons and personal characteristics of the examinees.

anticipation, emotional state, motivation of behavior, personality, probabilistic forecasting, social assessment, social processes, will

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