Transformation of the German Party and Political Landscape Following the Results of the Bundestag Elections in 2025

The article examines the party-political landscape of the Federal Republic of Germany before and after the Bundestag elections on February 23, 2025 and builds scenarios for its transformation. The object of the study is the party political system of Germany; the subject area is the changes that have occurred in the country’s party political system during the last electoral cycle. The following research methods were used: situational analysis, traditional document analysis, and the scenario method. The aim of the work is to predict the further transformation of the party political landscape in Germany based on data on the changes that occurred during the last electoral cycle. As a result of the research, three possible scenarios for the transformation of the party political landscape in Germany are constructed: optimistic, neutral and negative. The criterion used by the authors in constructing the scenarios was the success of completing the right turn. Based on the results of the work, it was concluded that the currently marginalized Alternative for Germany (AfD) party will be institutionalized and included in the party political system of Germany as a full participant. The scenario of de-ideologizing the party, softening its course and turning Alternative for Germany into a coalition partner for the CDU/CSU is also likely to be implemented.

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