<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">humanities</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Гуманитарные науки. Вестник Финансового университета</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Humanities and Social Sciences. Bulletin of the Financial University</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2226-7867</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2619-1482</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26794/2226-7867-2020-10-5-6-12</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">humanities-983</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ТЕМА НОМЕРА: РОССИЯ В СИСТЕМЕ СОВРЕМЕННЫХ МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫХ ВЗАИМОСВЯЗЕЙ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>COVER STORY: RUSSIA IN THE SYSTEM OF CURRENT INTERNATIONAL INTERRELATIONS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Политические жертвы коронавируса: влияние эпидемии на шансы Трампа выиграть президентские выборы в США</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Political Victims of the Coronavirus: The Impact of the Epidemic on Trump’s Chances of Winning the U. S. Presidential Election</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4833-0220</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мирзаян</surname><given-names>Г. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mirzayan</surname><given-names>G. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Геворг Валерьевич Мирзаян, кандидат политических наук, доцент</p><p>Департамент политологии и массовых коммуникаций</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Gevorg V. Mirzayan, Cand. Sci. (Political Sciences), Associate Professor</p><p>Department of Political Sciences and Mass Communications</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">GVMirzayan@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Финансовый университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Financial University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>24</day><month>05</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>10</volume><issue>5</issue><fpage>6</fpage><lpage>12</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Мирзаян Г.В., 2020</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Мирзаян Г.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Mirzayan G.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://humanities.fa.ru/jour/article/view/983">https://humanities.fa.ru/jour/article/view/983</self-uri><abstract><p>   Эпидемия коронавируса стала «черным лебедем» 2020 г . и оказала серьезное влияние на все мировые процессы. В том числе и на главный политический процесс 2020 г . — президентские выборы в США. Если до эпидемии победа Дональда Трампа была наиболее вероятной, то сейчас коронавирус и его последствия сделали этот сценарий маловероятным. И дело не в том, что Трамп допустил слишком много ошибок — скорее наоборот, президент хотя бы пытался демонстрировать лидерство и стратегическое мышление. Наконец, его линия поведения в ходе эпидемии в психологическом плане была куда правильнее, чем та, которую демонстрировали демократы. Дело в том, что коронавирус обнажил целую серию проблем американской экономики и общества, вина за которые почему-то стала возлагаться на Дональда Трампа.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>   The coronavirus epidemic turned out to be the most important “black swan” in 2020. It had a severe impact on all processes in the world, including the main political event of 2020 — the presidential elections in the United States. Before the epidemic, Donald Trump’s victory was the most likely outcome, but now the coronavirus and its consequences have made this scenario highly unlikely. And it is not because of Donald Trump’s many mistakes. Instead, on the contrary, the president at least tried to demonstrate leadership and strategic thinking in that difficult times, and his behaviour during the epidemic was psychologically much more correct than the one shown by the Democrats. The fact is that the coronavirus has exposed a whole series of problems in the American economy and society, for which, for some reason, people began to blame Donald Trump.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Дональд Трамп</kwd><kwd>коронавирус</kwd><kwd>Китай</kwd><kwd>Джо Байден</kwd><kwd>США</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Donald Trump</kwd><kwd>coronavirus</kwd><kwd>China</kwd><kwd>Joe Biden</kwd><kwd>USA</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Wegmann Philip. Biden Tells Trump to Act Like a ‘Wartime President’. RealClearPolitics; March 24, 2020. URL: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/03/24/biden_tells_trump_to_act_like_a_wartime_president.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Wegmann Philip. Biden Tells Trump to Act Like a ‘Wartime President’. RealClearPolitics; March 24, 2020. URL: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/03/24/biden_tells_trump_to_act_like_a_wartime_president.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">McNeil Donald Jr. The U. S. Now Leads the World in Confirmed Coronavirus Cases. The New York Times; March 26, 2020. URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/26/health/usa-coronavirus-cases.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">McNeil Donald Jr. The U. S. Now Leads the World in Confirmed Coronavirus Cases. The New York Times; March 26, 2020. URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/26/health/usa-coronavirus-cases.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Qiu Linda. Trump’s False Claims About His Response to the Coronavirus. The New York Times; March 13, 2020. URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/politics/fact-check-trump-coronavirus.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Qiu Linda. Trump’s False Claims About His Response to the Coronavirus. The New York Times; March 13, 2020. URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/politics/fact-check-trump-coronavirus.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bowden John. Fauci: Neither Trump nor CDC to blame for the testing delay. The Hill; March 17, 2020. URL: https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/487985-fauci-neither-trump-nor-cdc-to-blame-for-testing-delay.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bowden John. Fauci: Neither Trump nor CDC to blame for the testing delay. The Hill; March 17, 2020. URL: https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/487985-fauci-neither-trump-nor-cdc-to-blame-for-testing-delay.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Madrigal Alexis, Meyer Robinson. How the Coronavirus Became an American Catastrophe. The Atlantic; March 21, 2020. URL: https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-many-americans-are-sick-lost-february/608521/.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Madrigal Alexis, Meyer Robinson. How the Coronavirus Became an American Catastrophe. The Atlantic; March 21, 2020. URL: https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-many-americans-are-sick-lost-february/608521/.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Khazan Olga. The 4 Key Reasons the U. S. Is So Behind on Coronavirus Testing. The Atlantic; March 13, 2020. URL: https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/why-coronavirus-testing-us-so-delayed/607954/.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Khazan Olga. The 4 Key Reasons the U. S. Is So Behind on Coronavirus Testing. The Atlantic; March 13, 2020. URL: https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/why-coronavirus-testing-us-so-delayed/607954/.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Fink Sheri, Baker Mike. Coronavirus May Have Spread in the U.S. for Weeks, Gene Sequencing Suggests. The New York Times; March 21, 2020. URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/01/health/coronavirus-washington-spread.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Fink Sheri, Baker Mike. Coronavirus May Have Spread in the U.S. for Weeks, Gene Sequencing Suggests. The New York Times; March 21, 2020. URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/01/health/coronavirus-washington-spread.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Scott Dylan. Coronavirus is exposing all of the weaknesses in the U.S. health system. The Vox; March 16, 2020. URL: https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/3/16/21173766/coronavirus-covid-19-us-cases-health-care-system.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Scott Dylan. Coronavirus is exposing all of the weaknesses in the U.S. health system. The Vox; March 16, 2020. URL: https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/3/16/21173766/coronavirus-covid-19-us-cases-health-care-system.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Jacobs Andrew, Fink Sheri. How prepared is the U.S. for the coronavirus outbreak? The New York Times; February 29, 2020. URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/29/health/coronavirus-preparation-united-states.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Jacobs Andrew, Fink Sheri. How prepared is the U.S. for the coronavirus outbreak? The New York Times; February 29, 2020. URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/29/health/coronavirus-preparation-united-states.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Cha Amy, Cohen Robin Problems Paying Medical Bills, 2018. NCHS Data brief; February 2020. URL: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db357-h.pdf.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Cha Amy, Cohen Robin Problems Paying Medical Bills, 2018. NCHS Data brief; February 2020. URL: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db357-h.pdf.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Pipes Sally. A Surprise in the Congressional Stimulus Package? RealClearHealth; March 26, 2020. URL: https://www.realclearhealth.com/articles/2020/03/26/a_surprise_in_the_congressional_stimulus_package_111004.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Pipes Sally. A Surprise in the Congressional Stimulus Package? RealClearHealth; March 26, 2020. URL: https://www.realclearhealth.com/articles/2020/03/26/a_surprise_in_the_congressional_stimulus_package_111004.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Kirzinger Ashley, Muñana Cailey, Wu Bryan, Brodie Mollyann. Data Note: Americans’ Challenges with Health Care Costs. KFF; June 11, 2019. URL: https://www.kff.org/health-costs/issue-brief/data-note-americans-challenges-health-care-costs/.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kirzinger Ashley, Muñana Cailey, Wu Bryan, Brodie Mollyann. Data Note: Americans’ Challenges with Health Care Costs. KFF; June 11, 2019. URL: https://www.kff.org/health-costs/issue-brief/data-note-americans-challenges-health-care-costs/.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit13"><label>13</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Luhbi Tami. Here’s how the U.S. health care system makes it harder to stop coronavirus. CNN; March 11, 2020. URL: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/11/us/us-health-care-system-coronavirus/index.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Luhbi Tami. Here’s how the U.S. health care system makes it harder to stop coronavirus. CNN; March 11, 2020. URL: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/11/us/us-health-care-system-coronavirus/index.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit14"><label>14</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Arnott Robert. Moore Stephen. Shutdown is killing the economy — and is also no good for our health. The Hill; March 25, 2020. URL: https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/489566-shutdown-is-killing-the-economy-and-is-also-no-good-for-our-health.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Arnott Robert. Moore Stephen. Shutdown is killing the economy — and is also no good for our health. The Hill; March 25, 2020. URL: https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/489566-shutdown-is-killing-the-economy-and-is-also-no-good-for-our-health.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit15"><label>15</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Wise Justin. Trump rejected invitation to speak to WHO conference. The Hill; May 18, 2020. URL: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/498369-trump-rejected-invitation-to-speak-to-who-conference.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Wise Justin. Trump rejected invitation to speak to WHO conference. The Hill; May 18, 2020. URL: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/498369-trump-rejected-invitation-to-speak-to-who-conference.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit16"><label>16</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Treene Alayna. Exclusive: Biggest Trump super PAC test drives #BeijingBiden campaign. Axios; April 16, 2020. URL: https://www.axios.com/biggest-trump-super-pac-test-drives-beijingbiden-campaign-75582a64–6edc-48ec-9b38-f307816b6a32.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Treene Alayna. Exclusive: Biggest Trump super PAC test drives #BeijingBiden campaign. Axios; April 16, 2020. URL: https://www.axios.com/biggest-trump-super-pac-test-drives-beijingbiden-campaign-75582a64–6edc-48ec-9b38-f307816b6a32.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit17"><label>17</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Martina Michael. Exclusive: Biden to hammer Trump’s ‘tough talk, weak action’ on China, a top adviser says. Reuters; May 13, 2020. URL: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-biden-china-exclusive/exclusive-biden-to-hammer-trumps-tough-talk-weak-action-on-china-top-adviser-says-idUSKBN22P02B.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Martina Michael. Exclusive: Biden to hammer Trump’s ‘tough talk, weak action’ on China, a top adviser says. Reuters; May 13, 2020. URL: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-biden-china-exclusive/exclusive-biden-to-hammer-trumps-tough-talk-weak-action-on-china-top-adviser-says-idUSKBN22P02B.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit18"><label>18</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">White Martha. Trump’s $200 billion trade deal with China already at risk due to coronavirus. NBC News; May 13, 2020. URL: https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/200-billion-trade-deal-china-already-risk-due-coronavirus-n1204326.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">White Martha. Trump’s $200 billion trade deal with China already at risk due to coronavirus. NBC News; May 13, 2020. URL: https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/200-billion-trade-deal-china-already-risk-due-coronavirus-n1204326.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit19"><label>19</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Cotton Tom, Crenshaw Dan. Sen. Cotton, Rep. Crenshaw: Coronavirus has destroyed countless lives — Here’s how to make China pay. Fox News; April 24, 2020. URL: https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/coronavirus-china-pay-cotton-crenshaw.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Cotton Tom, Crenshaw Dan. Sen. Cotton, Rep. Crenshaw: Coronavirus has destroyed countless lives — Here’s how to make China pay. Fox News; April 24, 2020. URL: https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/coronavirus-china-pay-cotton-crenshaw.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit20"><label>20</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Zhao Chen. Why Trump’s threats to ‘punish’ China over Covid-19 ring hollow. South China Morning Post; May 14, 2020. URL: https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3084041/why-trumps-threats-punish-china-over-covid-19-ring-hollow.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Zhao Chen. Why Trump’s threats to ‘punish’ China over Covid-19 ring hollow. South China Morning Post; May 14, 2020. URL: https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3084041/why-trumps-threats-punish-china-over-covid-19-ring-hollow.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit21"><label>21</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Macdonald Heather. Against Fear. City Journal; October 05, 2020. URL: https://www.city-journal.org/trump-coronavirus-diagnosis-models-positive-masculinity.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Macdonald Heather. Against Fear. City Journal; October 05, 2020. URL: https://www.city-journal.org/trump-coronavirus-diagnosis-models-positive-masculinity.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit22"><label>22</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Collinson Stephen. Trump mounts bizarre and misleading White House return despite warnings. CNN; October 06, 2020. URL: https://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2020–54459078.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Collinson Stephen. Trump mounts bizarre and misleading White House return despite warnings. CNN; October 06, 2020. URL: https://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2020–54459078.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit23"><label>23</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Devine Miranda. Coronavirus battle shows the bravery of President Trump. The New York Post; October 04, 2020. URL: https://nypost.com/2020/10/04/coronavirus-battle-shows-the-bravery-of-president-trump-devine/.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Devine Miranda. Coronavirus battle shows the bravery of President Trump. The New York Post; October 04, 2020. URL: https://nypost.com/2020/10/04/coronavirus-battle-shows-the-bravery-of-president-trump-devine/.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit24"><label>24</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ghitis Frida. Trump’s grotesque coronavirus theater. CNN; October 06, 2020. URL: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/10/06/opinions/trump-covid-grotesque-theater-ghitis/index.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ghitis Frida. Trump’s grotesque coronavirus theater. CNN; October 06, 2020. URL: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/10/06/opinions/trump-covid-grotesque-theater-ghitis/index.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit25"><label>25</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Louis Errol. Biden checkmates Trump on Covid. CNN; October 06, 2020. URL: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/10/06/opinions/biden-town-hall-checkmates-trump-covid-louis/index.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Louis Errol. Biden checkmates Trump on Covid. CNN; October 06, 2020. URL: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/10/06/opinions/biden-town-hall-checkmates-trump-covid-louis/index.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit26"><label>26</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Treene Alayna, McCammond Alexi, Allen Mike. With Trump’s return, risks rise in the West Wing. Axios; October 06, 2020. URL: https://www.axios.com/trump-coronavirus-west-wing-staff-risks-c56a04cc-44ff-4521–82d0–695840b5395b.html.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Treene Alayna, McCammond Alexi, Allen Mike. With Trump’s return, risks rise in the West Wing. Axios; October 06, 2020. URL: https://www.axios.com/trump-coronavirus-west-wing-staff-risks-c56a04cc-44ff-4521–82d0–695840b5395b.html.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
